Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.001221 0.001374 0.001528 0.001692 0.001863 0.002035 0.002221
2025-11-02 0.000970 0.001191 0.001418 0.001668 0.001934 0.002206 0.002505
2025-11-09 0.000779 0.001048 0.001334 0.001656 0.002004 0.002367 0.002770
2025-11-16 0.000628 0.000933 0.001268 0.001653 0.002077 0.002524 0.003026
2025-11-23 0.000504 0.000836 0.001212 0.001654 0.002148 0.002674 0.003270
2025-11-30 0.000435 0.000795 0.001214 0.001714 0.002280 0.002888 0.003580
2025-12-07 0.000341 0.000713 0.001162 0.001708 0.002334 0.003012 0.003790
2025-12-14 0.000248 0.000619 0.001088 0.001673 0.002351 0.003092 0.003948
2025-12-21 0.000199 0.000579 0.001076 0.001705 0.002441 0.003251 0.004190
2025-12-28 0.000133 0.000503 0.001013 0.001673 0.002456 0.003323 0.004335
2026-01-04 0.000092 0.000456 0.000983 0.001679 0.002511 0.003439 0.004524
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.000400 0.000937 0.001661 0.002537 0.003519 0.004674
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000328 0.000878 0.001643 0.002581 0.003644 0.004899
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000262 0.000821 0.001624 0.002626 0.003769 0.005128
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000208 0.000772 0.001615 0.002681 0.003908 0.005372
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000163 0.000733 0.001614 0.002745 0.004055 0.005626
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000124 0.000697 0.001616 0.002811 0.004203 0.005879
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000111 0.000705 0.001677 0.002948 0.004434 0.006227
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000079 0.000667 0.001672 0.003002 0.004566 0.006459
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000044 0.000611 0.001637 0.003016 0.004649 0.006635
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000031 0.000603 0.001669 0.003113 0.004830 0.006922
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000011 0.000554 0.001638 0.003129 0.004913 0.007093
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000002 0.000530 0.001643 0.003190 0.005048 0.007325